The UK has an aging population. On current projections, the number of those over the age of 65 years will move from 19% of the population now (2022), to 24% of the population in twenty years’ time. This five basis point rise leads to a total of 14.7 million people who will be past retirement age by 2042 in England alone, a rise of 3.8 million people.


Clearly many over 65s will continue to live in their tenure of choice but there may be others who want to downsize, or live somewhere with like-minded, similarly aged people, or with targeted amenities or extras where they and their specific needs are more catered for. And again, there may be others who have to leave their home, in need of health-related assistance or care or additional support (and this becomes even more prevalent in the over 75’s). This specialist housing for older people includes many variations providing varying levels of assistance, support and amenities ranging from retirement villages, independent living communities, residential care and assisted living to nursing homes (among others).  


However, even though there are currently over 5.6 million people in the UK over the age of 75, there is a severe undersupply of accommodation in this market with research showing there are currently fewer than 750,000 units of senior living accommodation in the UK. 

There is already a chronic undersupply of later living accommodation, but with the number of those over 65 set to rise sharply over the coming years so too will demand for this accommodation tenure. According to the Mayhew Review (a 2022 assessment of senior care and housing need in the UK), the UK will need to allocate nearly 25% of all new homes to senior living by 2040, equivalent to 50,000 new homes for older people per annum. What’s more, a large proportion of this age group has amassed considerable wealth so with these statistics in mind developers and investors would be wise to look to this sector as a rapidly growing area of opportunity.
  • Current proportion of the population over 65 years
  • Proportion of people in poor health
  • Average earnings
  • House price forecasts
  • Household growth
  • Forecast proportion of the population over 65 years
  • Five-year net additional dwellings a proportion of all households

Top 10 locations for later living development in England 


The top ten locations are found in five different regions, a slightly wider spread than build to rent and build to sell:

 

Although these areas have come in the top ten, strong demand for all types of later living accommodation will be felt in all areas of the country over the coming years, making this a very attractive sector for future investment.

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Get in touch
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Francis Truss
Partner, Planning & Development
020 7518 3297 Email me About Francis
@ Lisa Simon
Lisa Simon
Partner, Head of Residential
020 7518 3234 Email me About Lisa
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Francis is a Partner in the London based Nationa lStrategic Land team with over 15 years of experience providing advice on strategic property assets. Francis' advice focuses on masterplanning, delivery and viability analysis to maximise the opportunity and value for private, corporate and public sector landowners. His UK wide experience is particularly focused on new settlements and brownfield land assets with infrastructure constraints, including sites without an established occupier demand profile. Francis has a strong understanding of policy issues including public sector infrastructure funding and the wider economic case for development projects.
Lisa Simon heads up our Residential Division, which includes sales, new homes, BTR, lettings and property management across our national network. She joined Carter Jonas in 2011 and has over thirty years' experience largely in London and the Home Counties working with Landlords and Tenants. Lisa oversees the day to day running of our residential offices and acts as a key contact for our Christies International Real Estate Affiliates and some of our lettings portfolio clients. She also oversees our corporate services department liaising and promoting our properties to companies and their relocation agents.

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